Iowa Wild at Grand Rapids Griffins

Van Andel Arena · Grand Rapids, MI

Iowa Wild

2:5

Final

Grand Rapids Griffins

The sheet

IAGRSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

38%62%

xG: 2.93.2
High danger: 55
Chances: 712
Shots: 2129

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

GR above the lineIA belowDots are goals. Pre-game 57% GR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

21Shots on goal29

7Scoring chances12

5High-danger chances5

2.89Expected goals3.20

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	7–12	4–5	4–0	1.3–1.1
2nd	5–11	1–4	0–3	0.5–1.4
3rd	9–6	2–3	1–2	1.1–0.8

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
IA	3	0:00 of the 3rd	20:00	20:00	+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Jesper Wallstedt

Shots faced: 29
Saves: 24
Allowed: 5
xGA: 3.20
GSAx: -1.80

Ville Husso

Shots faced: 21
Saves: 19
Allowed: 2
xGA: 2.89
GSAx: +0.89

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 10:31Penalty
1st 12:20Austin Watson (0–1)5v4 · medium · snap · 32 ft · beat Jesper Wallstedt
1st 15:30Caedan Bankier (1–1)grade A · rebound · 11 ft · beat Ville Husso
1st 15:47Penalty
1st 17:22Penalty
1st 19:25Sheldon Dries (1–2)medium · tip · 7 ft · beat Jesper Wallstedt
2nd 2:16Amadeus Lombardi (1–3)grade A · rebound · 8 ft · beat Jesper Wallstedt
2nd 7:37Jakub Rychlovský (1–4)high · 12 ft · beat Jesper Wallstedt
2nd 14:26Penalty
2nd 14:26Penalty
2nd 14:26Penalty
2nd 14:26Penalty
2nd 15:49Penalty
2nd 19:27Penalty
3rd 3:14Penalty
3rd 9:25Ondrej Becher (1–5)low · wrist · 16 ft · beat Jesper Wallstedt
3rd 16:54Graeme Clarke (2–5)grade A · wrist · rebound · 5 ft · beat Ville Husso