AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, November 27

Lehigh Valley Phantoms at Hartford Wolf Pack

XL Center · Hartford, CT

Lehigh Valley Phantoms
5:4
Final / OT
Hartford Wolf Pack

The sheet

LVHFDSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
35%65%
xG
2.94.2
High danger
46
Chances
1110
Shots
3345

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
HFD above the lineLV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% HFD.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

33Shots on goal45
11Scoring chances10
4High-danger chances6
2.87Expected goals4.19

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st9–152–40–10.6–1.3
2nd11–135–33–31.2–1.4
3rd11–144–31–20.9–1.2
OT2–30–00–00.1–0.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

LV−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
LV116:56 of the 3rd3:041:17+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Cal Petersen
Shots faced
45
Saves
41
Allowed
4
xGA
4.19
GSAx
+0.19
Dylan Garand
Shots faced
33
Saves
28
Allowed
5
xGA
2.87
GSAx
-2.13

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 5:06Anton Blidh (0–1)medium · 22 ft · beat Cal Petersen
  • 1st 6:28Samu Tuomaala (1–1)medium · 15 ft · beat Dylan Garand
  • 1st 19:43Penalty
  • 1st 19:43Penalty
  • 1st 20:00Penalty
  • 1st 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 7:37Benoit-Olivier Groulx (1–2)grade A · rebound · 16 ft · beat Cal Petersen
  • 2nd 10:18Penalty
  • 2nd 12:20Ethan Samson (2–2)low · 33 ft · beat Dylan Garand
  • 2nd 16:54Penalty
  • 2nd 17:34Penalty
  • 3rd 5:55Penalty
  • 3rd 6:35Penalty
  • 3rd 8:35Penalty
  • 3rd 9:23Victor Mancini (2–3)5v4 · low · 59 ft · beat Cal Petersen
  • 3rd 15:33Rhett Gardner (3–3)medium · 19 ft · beat Dylan Garand
  • 3rd 15:44Anton Blidh (3–4)low · 24 ft · beat Cal Petersen
  • 3rd 18:13Garrett Wilson (4–4)high · 12 ft · beat Dylan Garand
  • OT 3:22Samu Tuomaala (5–4)low · 34 ft · beat Dylan Garand