AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, November 27

Cleveland Monsters at Rochester Americans

Blue Cross Arena · Rochester, NY

Cleveland Monsters
5:4
Final
Rochester Americans

The sheet

CLEROCSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
37%63%
xG
2.63.4
High danger
55
Chances
815
Shots
2541

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
ROC above the lineCLE belowDots are goals. Pre-game 49% ROC.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

25Shots on goal41
8Scoring chances15
5High-danger chances5
2.59Expected goals3.41

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st9–133–42–01.1–0.9
2nd8–122–71–40.6–1.4
3rd8–163–42–10.9–1.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

ROC−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
ROC116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Jet Greaves
Shots faced
41
Saves
37
Allowed
4
xGA
3.41
GSAx
-0.59
Devon Levi
Shots faced
25
Saves
20
Allowed
5
xGA
2.59
GSAx
-2.41

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:14Brendan Warren (0–1)low · 40 ft · beat Jet Greaves
  • 1st 7:15Luca Del Bel Belluz (1–1)grade A · 16 ft · beat Devon Levi
  • 1st 10:14Justin Pearson (2–1)grade A · rebound · 10 ft · beat Devon Levi
  • 1st 15:15Jack Rathbone (2–2)low · 71 ft · beat Jet Greaves
  • 1st 17:18Penalty
  • 1st 18:18Penalty
  • 1st 19:55Graham Slaggert (2–3)4v5 · low · 44 ft · beat Jet Greaves
  • 2nd 2:40Josh Dunne (2–4)high · 11 ft · beat Jet Greaves
  • 2nd 5:01Penalty
  • 2nd 9:01Penalty
  • 2nd 11:41Penalty
  • 2nd 16:00Penalty
  • 2nd 18:56Penalty
  • 2nd 18:56Penalty
  • 2nd 18:56Penalty
  • 2nd 18:56Penalty
  • 2nd 19:24Luca Del Bel Belluz (3–4)high · wrist · 12 ft · beat Devon Levi
  • 3rd 3:34Owen Sillinger (4–4)medium · 20 ft · beat Devon Levi
  • 3rd 5:35Penalty
  • 3rd 9:30Gavin Brindley (5–4)grade A · rebound · 9 ft · beat Devon Levi
  • 3rd 13:49Penalty
  • 3rd 19:49Penalty