AHLDashboard
Wednesday, November 27

Coachella Valley Firebirds at Tucson Roadrunners

Tucson Convention Center Arena · Tucson, AZ

Coachella Valley Firebirds
3:4
Final / OT
Tucson Roadrunners

The sheet

CVTUCSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
45%55%
xG
2.73.1
High danger
56
Chances
1014
Shots
2730

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
TUC above the lineCV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% TUC.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

27Shots on goal30
10Scoring chances14
5High-danger chances6
2.74Expected goals3.10

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st8744120.80.9
2nd81017130.61.2
3rd101052311.20.8
OT1301000.10.3

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
30
Saves
26
Allowed
4
xGA
3.10
GSAx
-0.90
Shots faced
27
Saves
24
Allowed
3
xGA
2.74
GSAx
-0.26

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 4:18Penalty
  • 1st 12:41Penalty
  • 1st 13:09Mitchell Stephens (1–0)4v5 · high · 18 ft · beat Dylan Wells
  • 1st 19:09Austin Poganski (1–1)medium · 25 ft · beat Nikke Kokko
  • 2nd 3:55Kevin Connauton (1–2)low · 45 ft · beat Nikke Kokko
  • 2nd 7:42Logan Morrison (2–2)low · 18 ft · beat Dylan Wells
  • 2nd 16:36Penalty
  • 2nd 18:04Ben McCartney (2–3)4v5 · high · 20 ft · beat Nikke Kokko
  • 2nd 19:16Mitchell Stephens (3–3)low · 31 ft · beat Dylan Wells
  • 3rd 0:41Penalty
  • 3rd 2:09Penalty
  • 3rd 3:24Penalty
  • OT 3:37Andrew Agozzino (3–4)medium · 8 ft · beat Nikke Kokko