AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, November 29

Abbotsford Canucks at San Jose Barracuda

Tech CU Arena · San Jose, CA

Abbotsford Canucks
3:5
Final
San Jose Barracuda

The sheet

ABBSJSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
32%68%
xG
3.02.8
High danger
27
Chances
1312
Shots
3630

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SJ above the lineABB belowDots are goals. Pre-game 56% SJ.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

36Shots on goal30
13Scoring chances12
2High-danger chances7
2.96Expected goals2.85

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st6–121–40–20.4–1.0
2nd15–93–31–31.0–0.8
3rd15–99–51–21.6–1.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

ABB−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
ABB116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Yaroslav Askarov
Shots faced
36
Saves
33
Allowed
3
xGA
2.96
GSAx
-0.04
Ty Young
Shots faced
30
Saves
25
Allowed
5
xGA
2.85
GSAx
-2.15

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:48Penalty
  • 1st 8:09Lucas Vanroboys (0–1)low · 21 ft · beat Ty Young
  • 1st 19:08Lucas Vanroboys (0–2)medium · 17 ft · beat Ty Young
  • 2nd 0:56Penalty
  • 2nd 6:11Justin Bailey (0–3)high · 11 ft · beat Ty Young
  • 2nd 7:10Penalty
  • 2nd 7:10Penalty
  • 2nd 7:10Penalty
  • 2nd 7:10Penalty
  • 2nd 7:26Penalty
  • 2nd 7:26Penalty
  • 2nd 9:13Elias Pettersson (1–3)low · 47 ft · beat Yaroslav Askarov
  • 2nd 12:14Dino Kambeitz (2–3)low · 33 ft · beat Yaroslav Askarov
  • 2nd 17:02Penalty
  • 3rd 2:56Penalty
  • 3rd 4:26Dino Kambeitz (3–3)4v5 · medium · 30 ft · beat Yaroslav Askarov
  • 3rd 11:28Penalty
  • 3rd 15:24Scott Sabourin (3–4)high · 6 ft · beat Ty Young
  • 3rd 19:01Filip Bystedt (3–5)empty net · low · 22 ft · beat Ty Young