AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, November 30

Iowa Wild at Charlotte Checkers

Bojangles Coliseum · Charlotte, NC

Iowa Wild
0:3
Final
Charlotte Checkers

The sheet

IACLTSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
21%79%
xG
2.43.6
High danger
39
Chances
1016
Shots
2333

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CLT above the lineIA belowDots are goals. Pre-game 58% CLT.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

23Shots on goal33
10Scoring chances16
3High-danger chances9
2.38Expected goals3.65

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st5–101–40–20.4–0.9
2nd9–116–71–41.1–1.5
3rd9–123–52–30.9–1.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

IA−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
IA212:09 of the 3rd7:517:51+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Samuel Hlavaj
Shots faced
33
Saves
30
Allowed
3
xGA
3.65
GSAx
+0.65
Cooper Black
Shots faced
23
Saves
23
Allowed
0
xGA
2.38
GSAx
+2.38

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 9:12Penalty
  • 1st 9:12Penalty
  • 1st 9:12Penalty
  • 1st 9:12Penalty
  • 2nd 5:43Penalty
  • 2nd 5:43Penalty
  • 2nd 8:23Penalty
  • 2nd 11:59Penalty
  • 2nd 18:58Penalty
  • 3rd 2:26Penalty
  • 3rd 2:56Penalty
  • 3rd 3:11Trevor Carrick (0–1)5v4 · high · 12 ft · beat Samuel Hlavaj
  • 3rd 4:08John Leonard (0–2)5v4 · medium · 24 ft · beat Samuel Hlavaj
  • 3rd 7:55Penalty
  • 3rd 13:37Penalty
  • 3rd 14:37Patrick Giles (0–3)empty net · low · 83 ft · beat Samuel Hlavaj
  • 3rd 16:32Penalty