AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, November 30

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins at Hershey Bears

Giant Center · Hershey, PA

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
5:4
Final
Hershey Bears

The sheet

WBSHERSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
62%38%
xG
1.92.3
High danger
41
Chances
66
Shots
2334

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.522.5P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
HER above the lineWBS belowDots are goals. Pre-game 51% HER.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

23Shots on goal34
6Scoring chances6
4High-danger chances1
1.88Expected goals2.34

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st6–101–21–00.3–0.7
2nd11–75–23–11.3–0.6
3rd6–170–20–00.3–1.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

HER−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
HER118:45 of the 3rd1:151:15+0.029 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Sergei Murashov
Shots faced
34
Saves
30
Allowed
4
xGA
2.34
GSAx
-1.66
Hunter Shepard
Shots faced
23
Saves
18
Allowed
5
xGA
1.88
GSAx
-3.12

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 0:55Filip Král (1–0)low · 85 ft · beat Hunter Shepard
  • 1st 8:13Bogdan Trineyev (1–1)medium · 5 ft · beat Sergei Murashov
  • 2nd 2:41Penalty
  • 2nd 4:49Penalty
  • 2nd 9:21Penalty
  • 2nd 12:50Penalty
  • 2nd 13:32Vasily Ponomarev (2–1)5v4 · high · 25 ft · beat Hunter Shepard
  • 2nd 16:33Vincent Iorio (2–2)low · 24 ft · beat Sergei Murashov
  • 2nd 17:51Emil Bemström (3–2)low · 37 ft · beat Hunter Shepard
  • 2nd 18:47Penalty
  • 3rd 0:39Chase Priskie (3–3)5v4 · low · 34 ft · beat Sergei Murashov
  • 3rd 4:55Penalty
  • 3rd 6:00Penalty
  • 3rd 7:45Filip Král (4–3)5v4 · low · 63 ft · beat Hunter Shepard
  • 3rd 7:54Ethen Frank (4–4)low · 27 ft · beat Sergei Murashov
  • 3rd 10:27Penalty
  • 3rd 18:45Rutger McGroarty (5–4)low · 18 ft · beat Hunter Shepard