AHLDashboard
Saturday, November 30

Rockford IceHogs at Milwaukee Admirals

UW-Milwaukee Panther Arena · Milwaukee, WI

Rockford IceHogs
2:3
Final / OT
Milwaukee Admirals

The sheet

RFDMILSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
64%36%
xG
2.52.1
High danger
21
Chances
86
Shots
3125

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.522.5P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
MIL above the lineRFD belowDots are goals. Pre-game 55% MIL.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

31Shots on goal25
8Scoring chances6
2High-danger chances1
2.49Expected goals2.13

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st13830101.00.5
2nd81334100.71.2
3rd8322010.60.4
OT2100000.10.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
31
Saves
29
Allowed
2
xGA
2.49
GSAx
+0.49
Shots faced
25
Saves
22
Allowed
3
xGA
2.12
GSAx
-0.88

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 5:42Penalty
  • 1st 5:42Penalty
  • 1st 5:42Penalty
  • 1st 5:42Penalty
  • 1st 7:14Colton Dach (1–0)5v4 · high · 9 ft · beat Magnus Chrona
  • 1st 14:09Penalty
  • 2nd 1:45Penalty
  • 2nd 4:38Penalty
  • 2nd 9:35Penalty
  • 2nd 11:41Penalty
  • 2nd 16:52Penalty
  • 2nd 18:22Anthony Angello (1–1)5v4 · medium · 25 ft · beat Mitchell Weeks
  • 3rd 5:50Frank Nazar (2–1)low · 40 ft · beat Magnus Chrona
  • 3rd 9:02Kieffer Bellows (2–2)low · 34 ft · beat Mitchell Weeks
  • 3rd 10:39Penalty
  • 3rd 17:28Penalty
  • 3rd 19:52Penalty
  • OT 2:23Vinnie Hinostroza (2–3)low · 26 ft · beat Mitchell Weeks