AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, November 30

Grand Rapids Griffins at Chicago Wolves

Allstate Arena · Rosemont, IL

Grand Rapids Griffins
2:5
Final
Chicago Wolves

The sheet

GRCHISolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
21%79%
xG
1.62.9
High danger
25
Chances
712
Shots
1338

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CHI above the lineGR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 50% CHI.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

13Shots on goal38
7Scoring chances12
2High-danger chances5
1.57Expected goals2.87

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st1–170–30–10.1–1.1
2nd9–125–72–31.2–1.3
3rd3–92–20–10.3–0.5

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

GR−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
GR31:47 of the 3rd18:1318:13+0.023 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Carter Gylander
Shots faced
38
Saves
33
Allowed
5
xGA
2.87
GSAx
-2.13
Dustin Tokarski
Shots faced
13
Saves
11
Allowed
2
xGA
1.57
GSAx
-0.43

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 8:10Justin Robidas (0–1)medium · 23 ft · beat Carter Gylander
  • 1st 14:31Sheldon Dries (1–1)low · 24 ft · beat Dustin Tokarski
  • 1st 19:59Scott Morrow (1–2)high · 8 ft · beat Carter Gylander
  • 2nd 9:01Austin Wagner (1–3)high · 17 ft · beat Carter Gylander
  • 2nd 9:26Penalty
  • 2nd 13:55Penalty
  • 2nd 16:55Penalty
  • 3rd 1:47Scott Morrow (1–4)medium · rebound · 40 ft · beat Carter Gylander
  • 3rd 13:09Penalty
  • 3rd 17:15Penalty
  • 3rd 17:32Dominik Shine (2–4)5v4 · medium · 10 ft · beat Dustin Tokarski
  • 3rd 19:03Scott Morrow (2–5)empty net · low · 110 ft · beat Carter Gylander