AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, November 30

Abbotsford Canucks at San Jose Barracuda

Tech CU Arena · San Jose, CA

Abbotsford Canucks
4:7
Final
San Jose Barracuda

The sheet

ABBSJSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
35%65%
xG
2.33.1
High danger
45
Chances
713
Shots
2929

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SJ above the lineABB belowDots are goals. Pre-game 56% SJ.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

29Shots on goal29
7Scoring chances13
4High-danger chances5
2.28Expected goals3.13

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st7–121–40–00.4–0.9
2nd10–133–63–30.9–1.7
3rd12–43–31–20.9–0.5

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

ABB−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
ABB33:42 of the 3rd16:1816:18+0.022 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Gabriel Carriere
Shots faced
29
Saves
25
Allowed
4
xGA
2.28
GSAx
-1.72
Nikita Tolopilo
Shots faced
28
Saves
22
Allowed
6
xGA
2.93
GSAx
-3.07

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 3:45Penalty
  • 1st 4:17Luca Cagnoni (0–1)5v4 · medium · 15 ft · beat Nikita Tolopilo
  • 1st 4:42Donavan Houle (0–2)medium · 7 ft · beat Nikita Tolopilo
  • 1st 8:12Penalty
  • 1st 18:27Penalty
  • 2nd 1:11Tristen Nielsen (1–2)high · 9 ft · beat Gabriel Carriere
  • 2nd 2:19Ben Berard (2–2)high · 8 ft · beat Gabriel Carriere
  • 2nd 7:11Penalty
  • 2nd 7:54Luca Cagnoni (2–3)5v4 · low · 52 ft · beat Nikita Tolopilo
  • 2nd 10:50Danila Klimovich (3–3)high · 13 ft · beat Gabriel Carriere
  • 2nd 13:34Penalty
  • 2nd 14:45Penalty
  • 2nd 18:34Penalty
  • 2nd 19:23Andrew Poturalski (3–4)5v4 · medium · 20 ft · beat Nikita Tolopilo
  • 2nd 19:59Colin White (3–5)low · 26 ft · beat Nikita Tolopilo
  • 3rd 3:42Thomas Bordeleau (3–6)medium · 34 ft · beat Nikita Tolopilo
  • 3rd 6:48Penalty
  • 3rd 13:44Penalty
  • 3rd 15:46Tristen Nielsen (4–6)low · 31 ft · beat Gabriel Carriere
  • 3rd 17:28Penalty
  • 3rd 19:56Justin Bailey (4–7)empty net · high · 13 ft