AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, December 1

Belleville Senators at Bridgeport Islanders

Total Mortgage Arena · Bridgeport, CT

Belleville Senators
3:2
Final
Bridgeport Islanders

The sheet

BELBRISolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
71%29%
xG
2.61.9
High danger
42
Chances
77
Shots
3625

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
BRI above the lineBEL belowDots are goals. Pre-game 55% BRI.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

36Shots on goal25
7Scoring chances7
4High-danger chances2
2.56Expected goals1.90

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st9–121–41–10.7–1.0
2nd11–62–21–10.6–0.6
3rd16–74–12–01.3–0.3

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

BRI−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
BRI116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Jakub Skarek
Shots faced
36
Saves
33
Allowed
3
xGA
2.56
GSAx
-0.44
Malcolm Subban
Shots faced
25
Saves
23
Allowed
2
xGA
1.90
GSAx
-0.10

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 5:57Penalty
  • 1st 7:15Penalty
  • 1st 10:30Liam Foudy (0–1)low · 22 ft · beat Malcolm Subban
  • 1st 13:24Penalty
  • 1st 17:44Penalty
  • 2nd 5:22Travis Mitchell (0–2)low · 24 ft · beat Malcolm Subban
  • 2nd 12:52Nikolas Matinpalo (1–2)medium · 19 ft · beat Jakub Skarek
  • 2nd 19:14Penalty
  • 3rd 5:22Penalty
  • 3rd 10:14Penalty
  • 3rd 11:06Stephen Halliday (2–2)5v4 · low · 53 ft · beat Jakub Skarek
  • 3rd 11:34Penalty
  • 3rd 14:05Wyatt Bongiovanni (3–2)medium · 12 ft · beat Jakub Skarek