AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, December 1

Cleveland Monsters at Grand Rapids Griffins

Van Andel Arena · Grand Rapids, MI

Cleveland Monsters
4:6
Final
Grand Rapids Griffins

The sheet

CLEGRSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
63%37%
xG
2.61.8
High danger
43
Chances
76
Shots
3319

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
GR above the lineCLE belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% GR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

33Shots on goal19
7Scoring chances6
4High-danger chances3
2.58Expected goals1.78

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st12–73–42–21.0–0.8
2nd9–90–20–10.4–0.8
3rd12–34–02–01.2–0.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CLE−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CLE30:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Sebastian Cossa
Shots faced
33
Saves
29
Allowed
4
xGA
2.58
GSAx
-1.42
Zach Sawchenko
Shots faced
12
Saves
8
Allowed
4
xGA
1.46
GSAx
-2.54
Jet Greaves
Shots faced
7
Saves
5
Allowed
2
xGA
0.32
GSAx
-1.68

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 7:12Tory Dello (0–1)low · wrist · 59 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
  • 1st 7:25Denton Mateychuk (1–1)grade A · wrist · rebound · 17 ft · beat Sebastian Cossa
  • 1st 11:30Dominik Shine (1–2)medium · snap · 31 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
  • 1st 13:38Ole Julian Bjørgvik-Holm (2–2)low · 59 ft · beat Sebastian Cossa
  • 1st 19:33Penalty
  • 1st 19:57Joe Snively (2–3)5v4 · low · slap · 32 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
  • 2nd 2:10Trey Fix-Wolansky (3–3)low · slap · 38 ft · beat Sebastian Cossa
  • 2nd 4:42Joe Snively (3–4)medium · wrist · 7 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
  • 2nd 6:35Antti Tuomisto (3–5)low · slap · 49 ft · beat Jet Greaves
  • 2nd 7:16Penalty
  • 2nd 15:36Nate Danielson (3–6)low · slap · 25 ft · beat Jet Greaves
  • 2nd 16:24Penalty
  • 3rd 7:00Penalty
  • 3rd 14:38Penalty
  • 3rd 16:44Luca Del Bel Belluz (4–6)low · 41 ft · beat Sebastian Cossa