AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, December 1

Rockford IceHogs at Chicago Wolves

Allstate Arena · Rosemont, IL

Rockford IceHogs
6:3
Final
Chicago Wolves

The sheet

RFDCHISolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
73%27%
xG
3.02.2
High danger
62
Chances
128
Shots
2925

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CHI above the lineRFD belowDots are goals. Pre-game 56% CHI.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

29Shots on goal25
12Scoring chances8
6High-danger chances2
3.04Expected goals2.23

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st6–81–10–00.3–0.5
2nd17–57–34–12.0–0.6
3rd6–124–42–10.7–1.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CHI−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CHI116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Ruslan Khazheyev
Shots faced
28
Saves
23
Allowed
5
xGA
3.03
GSAx
-1.97
Drew Commesso
Shots faced
25
Saves
22
Allowed
3
xGA
2.23
GSAx
-0.77

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:30Samuel Savoie (1–0)medium · 9 ft · beat Ruslan Khazheyev
  • 1st 4:53Penalty
  • 1st 9:47Bradly Nadeau (1–1)medium · 23 ft · beat Drew Commesso
  • 1st 10:10Penalty
  • 1st 15:08Gleb Trikozov (1–2)low · 38 ft · beat Drew Commesso
  • 1st 16:26Penalty
  • 1st 16:42Penalty
  • 1st 19:03Penalty
  • 2nd 3:08Penalty
  • 2nd 3:08Penalty
  • 2nd 3:08Penalty
  • 2nd 3:08Penalty
  • 2nd 5:27Penalty
  • 2nd 11:05Gerry Mayhew (2–2)grade A · rebound · 10 ft · beat Ruslan Khazheyev
  • 2nd 15:27Kevin Korchinski (3–2)low · 21 ft · beat Ruslan Khazheyev
  • 2nd 17:05Penalty
  • 2nd 18:54Artyom Levshunov (4–2)5v4 · low · 57 ft · beat Ruslan Khazheyev
  • 3rd 1:17Juha Jääskä (4–3)medium · 25 ft · beat Drew Commesso
  • 3rd 3:53Penalty
  • 3rd 7:21Penalty
  • 3rd 17:27Penalty
  • 3rd 17:35Gerry Mayhew (5–3)5v4 · high · 14 ft · beat Ruslan Khazheyev
  • 3rd 19:38Gerry Mayhew (6–3)empty net · low · 47 ft