AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, December 4

Hartford Wolf Pack at Bridgeport Islanders

Total Mortgage Arena · Bridgeport, CT

Hartford Wolf Pack
6:1
Final
Bridgeport Islanders

The sheet

HFDBRISolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
25%75%
xG
2.03.0
High danger
13
Chances
59
Shots
3032

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
BRI above the lineHFD belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% BRI.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

30Shots on goal32
5Scoring chances9
1High-danger chances3
1.96Expected goals2.97

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st12–81–40–20.6–1.0
2nd9–141–40–00.5–1.2
3rd9–103–11–10.9–0.8

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

BRI−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
BRI38:47 of the 3rd11:1311:13+0.016 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Dylan Garand
Shots faced
32
Saves
31
Allowed
1
xGA
2.97
GSAx
+1.97
Marcus Högberg
Shots faced
30
Saves
24
Allowed
6
xGA
1.96
GSAx
-4.04

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 0:46Penalty
  • 1st 12:10Penalty
  • 1st 17:24Penalty
  • 1st 18:15Alex Belzile (1–0)5v4 · low · 35 ft · beat Marcus Högberg
  • 2nd 5:46Penalty
  • 2nd 6:32Alex Jefferies (1–1)5v4 · medium · 44 ft · beat Dylan Garand
  • 2nd 6:58Penalty
  • 2nd 15:31Penalty
  • 2nd 16:11Alex Belzile (2–1)5v4 · low · 46 ft · beat Marcus Högberg
  • 2nd 19:02Anton Blidh (3–1)medium · 20 ft · beat Marcus Högberg
  • 3rd 0:48Penalty
  • 3rd 3:50Penalty
  • 3rd 7:48Penalty
  • 3rd 8:47Alex Belzile (4–1)5v4 · medium · 19 ft · beat Marcus Högberg
  • 3rd 9:32Matt Rempe (5–1)high · 21 ft · beat Marcus Högberg
  • 3rd 9:39Bryce McConnell-Barker (6–1)medium · 15 ft · beat Marcus Högberg