Chicago Wolves at Grand Rapids Griffins

Van Andel Arena · Grand Rapids, MI

Chicago Wolves

3:1

Final

Grand Rapids Griffins

The sheet

CHIGRSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

59%41%

xG: 3.32.5
High danger: 55
Chances: 128
Shots: 3225

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

GR above the lineCHI belowDots are goals. Pre-game 55% GR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

32Shots on goal25

12Scoring chances8

5High-danger chances5

3.27Expected goals2.54

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	15–5	6–1	3–1	1.6–0.4
2nd	10–11	3–6	1–4	0.9–1.6
3rd	7–9	3–1	1–0	0.8–0.5

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
GR	2	12:09 of the 3rd	7:51	7:51	+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Jack Campbell

Shots faced: 32
Saves: 29
Allowed: 3
xGA: 3.27
GSAx: +0.27

Spencer Martin

Shots faced: 25
Saves: 24
Allowed: 1
xGA: 2.54
GSAx: +1.54

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 13:38Penalty
1st 14:46Felix Unger Sörum (1–0)5v4 · medium · slap · 26 ft · beat Jack Campbell
1st 17:28Penalty
1st 19:31Penalty
2nd 1:25Austin Watson (1–1)5v4 · high · wrist · 9 ft · beat Spencer Martin
2nd 5:04Penalty
2nd 9:33Ty Smith (2–1)medium · wrist · 11 ft · beat Jack Campbell
2nd 11:14Penalty
2nd 12:35Penalty
2nd 14:55Tyson Jost (3–1)low · slap · 32 ft · beat Jack Campbell
3rd 7:43Penalty
3rd 10:54Penalty
3rd 10:54Penalty
3rd 17:35Penalty