AHLDashboard
Friday, December 6

Syracuse Crunch at Cleveland Monsters

Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse · Cleveland, OH

Syracuse Crunch
4:5
Final / OT
Cleveland Monsters

The sheet

SYRCLESolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
35%65%
xG
2.84.1
High danger
78
Chances
1311
Shots
2033

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CLE above the lineSYR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% CLE.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

20Shots on goal33
13Scoring chances11
7High-danger chances8
2.76Expected goals4.08

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st8541301.10.3
2nd41224220.51.3
3rd61464240.91.6
OT2212020.20.9

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CLE−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CLE212:09 of the 3rd7:516:46+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Shots faced
33
Saves
28
Allowed
5
xGA
4.08
GSAx
-0.92
Shots faced
20
Saves
16
Allowed
4
xGA
2.76
GSAx
-1.24

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 17:39Steven Santini (1–0)grade A · rebound · 16 ft · beat Jet Greaves
  • 1st 18:53Dylan Duke (2–0)high · 16 ft · beat Jet Greaves
  • 1st 19:46Penalty
  • 1st 19:52Joseph LaBate (2–1)5v4 · medium · 60 ft · beat Matt Tomkins
  • 2nd 0:56Gabriel Szturc (3–1)grade A · rebound · 10 ft · beat Jet Greaves
  • 2nd 6:19Penalty
  • 2nd 7:56James Malatesta (3–2)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 10 ft · beat Matt Tomkins
  • 2nd 19:42Penalty
  • 3rd 10:20Gabriel Szturc (4–2)high · 10 ft · beat Jet Greaves
  • 3rd 11:26Penalty
  • 3rd 11:49Penalty
  • 3rd 15:47Penalty
  • 3rd 15:47Penalty
  • 3rd 15:47Penalty
  • 3rd 17:49Luca Del Bel Belluz (4–3)low · 21 ft · beat Matt Tomkins
  • 3rd 18:55Luca Del Bel Belluz (4–4)low · 47 ft · beat Matt Tomkins
  • OT 2:36Corson Ceulemans (4–5)high · 46 ft · beat Matt Tomkins