AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, December 7

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins at Hartford Wolf Pack

XL Center · Hartford, CT

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
6:2
Final
Hartford Wolf Pack

The sheet

WBSHFDSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
57%43%
xG
2.93.1
High danger
85
Chances
1211
Shots
2330

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
HFD above the lineWBS belowDots are goals. Pre-game 51% HFD.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

23Shots on goal30
12Scoring chances11
8High-danger chances5
2.87Expected goals3.10

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st12–86–34–21.4–0.9
2nd5–112–42–20.7–1.2
3rd6–114–42–10.8–1.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

HFD−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
HFD33:28 of the 3rd16:3216:32+0.022 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Joel Blomqvist
Shots faced
30
Saves
28
Allowed
2
xGA
3.10
GSAx
+1.10
Louis Domingue
Shots faced
23
Saves
17
Allowed
6
xGA
2.87
GSAx
-3.13

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 4:14Penalty
  • 1st 4:14Penalty
  • 1st 4:14Penalty
  • 1st 6:55Penalty
  • 1st 10:41Penalty
  • 1st 12:14Valtteri Puustinen (1–0)5v4 · medium · 21 ft · beat Louis Domingue
  • 1st 17:28Penalty
  • 1st 18:18Valtteri Puustinen (2–0)5v4 · high · 11 ft · beat Louis Domingue
  • 1st 19:46Joona Koppanen (3–0)high · 4 ft · beat Louis Domingue
  • 2nd 4:47Bryce McConnell-Barker (3–1)low · 10 ft · beat Joel Blomqvist
  • 2nd 6:29Penalty
  • 2nd 7:39Vasily Ponomarev (4–1)5v4 · grade A · 7 ft · beat Louis Domingue
  • 2nd 8:08Penalty
  • 2nd 8:18Penalty
  • 2nd 9:25Jake Leschyshyn (4–2)5v4 · high · 20 ft · beat Joel Blomqvist
  • 2nd 11:05Penalty
  • 2nd 11:05Penalty
  • 2nd 12:25Penalty
  • 2nd 14:54Penalty
  • 2nd 14:54Penalty
  • 2nd 16:06Penalty
  • 3rd 0:35Penalty
  • 3rd 0:35Penalty
  • 3rd 3:28Vasily Ponomarev (5–2)4v5 · medium · 13 ft · beat Louis Domingue
  • 3rd 13:25Penalty
  • 3rd 16:42Penalty
  • 3rd 18:33Penalty
  • 3rd 18:33Vasily Ponomarev (6–2)empty net · low · 40 ft · beat Louis Domingue