AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, December 7

Rochester Americans at Charlotte Checkers

Bojangles Coliseum · Charlotte, NC

Rochester Americans
3:0
Final
Charlotte Checkers

The sheet

ROCCLTSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
39%61%
xG
2.23.3
High danger
66
Chances
1114
Shots
1930

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CLT above the lineROC belowDots are goals. Pre-game 57% CLT.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

19Shots on goal30
11Scoring chances14
6High-danger chances6
2.23Expected goals3.29

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st6–102–21–10.6–0.8
2nd7–76–42–21.0–0.9
3rd6–133–83–30.7–1.6

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CLT−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CLT212:09 of the 3rd7:517:51+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Devon Levi
Shots faced
30
Saves
30
Allowed
0
xGA
3.29
GSAx
+3.29
Cooper Black
Shots faced
19
Saves
16
Allowed
3
xGA
2.23
GSAx
-0.77

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 6:28Graham Slaggert (1–0)high · 15 ft · beat Cooper Black
  • 1st 6:56Penalty
  • 2nd 2:28Penalty
  • 2nd 8:50Penalty
  • 2nd 8:50Penalty
  • 2nd 8:50Penalty
  • 2nd 16:35Penalty
  • 3rd 6:53Penalty
  • 3rd 10:10Nikita Novikov (2–0)low · 59 ft · beat Cooper Black
  • 3rd 10:24Penalty
  • 3rd 10:24Penalty
  • 3rd 10:24Penalty
  • 3rd 18:38Brendan Warren (3–0)empty net · high · 14 ft · beat Cooper Black