AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, December 7

Milwaukee Admirals at Iowa Wild

Wells Fargo Arena · Des Moines, IA

Milwaukee Admirals
2:5
Final
Iowa Wild

The sheet

MILIASolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
61%39%
xG
3.22.5
High danger
54
Chances
149
Shots
2425

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
IA above the lineMIL belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% IA.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

24Shots on goal25
14Scoring chances9
5High-danger chances4
3.23Expected goals2.47

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st10–63–21–11.0–0.6
2nd5–94–32–10.8–0.9
3rd9–107–42–21.3–0.9

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

MIL−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
MIL212:09 of the 3rd7:517:51+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Magnus Chrona
Shots faced
25
Saves
20
Allowed
5
xGA
2.47
GSAx
-2.53
Jesper Wallstedt
Shots faced
24
Saves
22
Allowed
2
xGA
3.23
GSAx
+1.23

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 8:28Penalty
  • 1st 10:54Penalty
  • 2nd 5:23Liam Öhgren (0–1)medium · 29 ft · beat Magnus Chrona
  • 2nd 8:48Penalty
  • 2nd 9:28Penalty
  • 2nd 10:13Jake Lucchini (1–1)5v4 · high · 17 ft · beat Jesper Wallstedt
  • 2nd 15:34Penalty
  • 2nd 19:56Penalty
  • 3rd 1:08Penalty
  • 3rd 2:29Penalty
  • 3rd 6:33Liam Öhgren (1–2)low · 35 ft · beat Magnus Chrona
  • 3rd 12:02Bradley Marek (1–3)low · 20 ft · beat Magnus Chrona
  • 3rd 14:08Carson Lambos (1–4)medium · 15 ft · beat Magnus Chrona
  • 3rd 15:13Ozzy Wiesblatt (2–4)high · rebound · 10 ft · beat Jesper Wallstedt
  • 3rd 19:17Graeme Clarke (2–5)empty net · low · 170 ft · beat Magnus Chrona