Colorado Eagles at Abbotsford Canucks

Abbotsford Centre · Abbotsford, BC

Colorado Eagles

1:6

Final

Abbotsford Canucks

The sheet

COLABBSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

31%69%

xG: 2.23.5
High danger: 38
Chances: 712
Shots: 2529

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

ABB above the lineCOL belowDots are goals. Pre-game 48% ABB.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

25Shots on goal29

7Scoring chances12

3High-danger chances8

2.18Expected goals3.51

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	6–10	2–4	2–3	0.7–1.4
2nd	9–2	3–1	1–1	0.8–0.2
3rd	10–17	2–7	0–4	0.7–1.8

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
COL	3	0:00 of the 3rd	20:00	20:00	+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Trent Miner

Shots faced: 29
Saves: 23
Allowed: 6
xGA: 3.51
GSAx: -2.49

Ty Young

Shots faced: 25
Saves: 24
Allowed: 1
xGA: 2.18
GSAx: +1.18

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 0:12Linus Karlsson (0–1)grade A · rebound · 9 ft · beat Trent Miner
1st 1:42Jonathan Lekkerimäki (0–2)high · 19 ft · beat Trent Miner
1st 4:13Penalty
1st 4:13Penalty
1st 4:13Penalty
1st 8:42Arshdeep Bains (0–3)low · 27 ft · beat Trent Miner
1st 13:54Penalty
1st 17:18Tye Felhaber (1–3)low · 21 ft · beat Ty Young
2nd 0:59Penalty
2nd 4:59Dino Kambeitz (1–4)high · 6 ft · beat Trent Miner
2nd 7:16Penalty
2nd 11:21Penalty
2nd 15:51Penalty
3rd 0:31Penalty
3rd 2:22Penalty
3rd 4:06Penalty
3rd 6:15Penalty
3rd 8:53Penalty
3rd 8:53Penalty
3rd 9:31Penalty
3rd 10:51Linus Karlsson (1–5)5v4 · high · 15 ft · beat Trent Miner
3rd 13:50Jonathan Lekkerimäki (1–6)medium · 28 ft · beat Trent Miner
3rd 15:29Penalty