AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, December 8

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins at Providence Bruins

Amica Mutual Pavilion · Providence, RI

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
0:5
Final
Providence Bruins

The sheet

WBSPROSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
14%86%
xG
1.43.3
High danger
25
Chances
415
Shots
2131

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
PRO above the lineWBS belowDots are goals. Pre-game 55% PRO.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

21Shots on goal31
4Scoring chances15
2High-danger chances5
1.43Expected goals3.28

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st3–171–70–10.3–1.6
2nd12–81–61–30.6–1.1
3rd6–62–21–10.5–0.6

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

WBS−40:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
WBS40:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.013 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Filip Larsson
Shots faced
31
Saves
26
Allowed
5
xGA
3.28
GSAx
-1.72
Brandon Bussi
Shots faced
21
Saves
21
Allowed
0
xGA
1.43
GSAx
+1.43

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 4:10Penalty
  • 1st 7:08Georgii Merkulov (0–1)low · 36 ft · beat Filip Larsson
  • 1st 14:16Penalty
  • 1st 14:16Penalty
  • 2nd 2:52Penalty
  • 2nd 4:30Jeffrey Viel (0–2)4v5 · high · 13 ft · beat Filip Larsson
  • 2nd 13:58Penalty
  • 2nd 14:14Vinni Lettieri (0–3)5v4 · high · 16 ft · beat Filip Larsson
  • 2nd 16:00Penalty
  • 2nd 16:00Penalty
  • 2nd 18:04Matthew Poitras (0–4)medium · 21 ft · beat Filip Larsson
  • 2nd 19:27Penalty
  • 2nd 19:57Penalty
  • 3rd 0:29Penalty
  • 3rd 8:16Penalty
  • 3rd 10:55Penalty
  • 3rd 12:21Brett Harrison (0–5)5v4 · medium · 19 ft · beat Filip Larsson