AHLDashboard
Sunday, December 8

Grand Rapids Griffins at Chicago Wolves

Allstate Arena · Rosemont, IL

Grand Rapids Griffins
1:2
Final
Chicago Wolves

The sheet

GRCHISolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
64%36%
xG
4.23.0
High danger
65
Chances
1512
Shots
3430

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CHI above the lineGR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 50% CHI.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

34Shots on goal30
15Scoring chances12
6High-danger chances5
4.16Expected goals2.98

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st111257331.71.5
2nd81313020.51.0
3rd15592302.00.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

GR−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
GR212:09 of the 3rd7:517:51+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Shots faced
34
Saves
33
Allowed
1
xGA
4.16
GSAx
+3.16
Shots faced
30
Saves
28
Allowed
2
xGA
2.98
GSAx
+0.98

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 6:26Penalty
  • 1st 12:24Penalty
  • 1st 12:32Noel Gunler (0–1)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 8 ft · beat Jack Campbell
  • 1st 12:35Penalty
  • 1st 12:45Justin Robidas (0–2)4v5 · medium · 22 ft · beat Jack Campbell
  • 2nd 1:37Penalty
  • 2nd 5:04Penalty
  • 2nd 11:33Penalty
  • 2nd 18:06Penalty
  • 3rd 6:34Penalty
  • 3rd 19:19Sheldon Dries (1–2)grade A · rebound · 8 ft · beat Spencer Martin