AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, December 8

Coachella Valley Firebirds at San Jose Barracuda

Tech CU Arena · San Jose, CA

Coachella Valley Firebirds
1:2
Final
San Jose Barracuda

The sheet

CVSJSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
39%61%
xG
3.03.8
High danger
46
Chances
1214
Shots
3338

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SJ above the lineCV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% SJ.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

33Shots on goal38
12Scoring chances14
4High-danger chances6
2.97Expected goals3.83

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st6–151–70–30.3–1.9
2nd14–159–64–31.9–1.4
3rd13–82–10–00.7–0.5

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CV−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CV116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Nikke Kokko
Shots faced
38
Saves
36
Allowed
2
xGA
3.83
GSAx
+1.83
Georgii Romanov
Shots faced
33
Saves
32
Allowed
1
xGA
2.97
GSAx
+1.97

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:41Penalty
  • 1st 2:41Penalty
  • 1st 9:36Nikolas Brouillard (1–0)low · 59 ft · beat Georgii Romanov
  • 1st 9:54Penalty
  • 1st 13:48Penalty
  • 1st 15:17Thomas Bordeleau (1–1)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 10 ft · beat Nikke Kokko
  • 1st 19:36Penalty
  • 1st 19:36Penalty
  • 1st 19:36Penalty
  • 1st 19:36Penalty
  • 2nd 7:52Penalty
  • 2nd 13:00Penalty
  • 3rd 4:50Penalty
  • 3rd 10:32Donavan Houle (1–2)low · 26 ft · beat Nikke Kokko
  • 3rd 16:02Penalty
  • 3rd 18:16Penalty