AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, December 8

Texas Stars at Henderson Silver Knights

Lee’s Family Forum · Henderson, NV

Texas Stars
4:2
Final
Henderson Silver Knights

The sheet

TEXHSKSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
25%75%
xG
2.75.0
High danger
710
Chances
1117
Shots
2645

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012345P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
HSK above the lineTEX belowDots are goals. Pre-game 55% HSK.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

26Shots on goal45
11Scoring chances17
7High-danger chances10
2.72Expected goals4.98

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st7–153–50–40.6–1.6
2nd12–185–84–31.5–2.1
3rd7–123–43–30.7–1.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

HSK−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
HSK212:09 of the 3rd7:517:51+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Magnus Hellberg
Shots faced
45
Saves
43
Allowed
2
xGA
4.98
GSAx
+2.98
Carl Lindbom
Shots faced
26
Saves
22
Allowed
4
xGA
2.72
GSAx
-1.28

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:15Penalty
  • 1st 11:08Penalty
  • 1st 12:28Penalty
  • 1st 15:37Penalty
  • 1st 17:36Dysin Mayo (0–1)5v4 · low · wrist · 36 ft · beat Magnus Hellberg
  • 2nd 2:53Penalty
  • 2nd 7:55Penalty
  • 2nd 10:23Penalty
  • 2nd 11:21Penalty
  • 2nd 11:21Penalty
  • 2nd 14:38Penalty
  • 2nd 16:44Penalty
  • 2nd 16:52Curtis McKenzie (1–1)5v4 · high · wrist · 8 ft · beat Carl Lindbom
  • 2nd 17:21Matěj Blümel (2–1)high · wrist · 162 ft · beat Carl Lindbom
  • 2nd 18:28Penalty
  • 2nd 18:28Penalty
  • 2nd 18:28Penalty
  • 2nd 18:28Penalty
  • 2nd 19:25Cameron Hughes (3–1)5v4 · grade A · wrist · 10 ft · beat Carl Lindbom
  • 3rd 1:04Penalty
  • 3rd 16:37Penalty
  • 3rd 17:49Grigori Denisenko (3–2)5v4 · high · wrist · 8 ft · beat Magnus Hellberg
  • 3rd 19:50Arttu Hyry (4–2)empty net · high · wrist · 2 ft · beat Carl Lindbom