AHLDashboard
‹ Tuesday, December 10

Lehigh Valley Phantoms at Toronto Marlies

Coca-Cola Coliseum · Toronto, ON

Lehigh Valley Phantoms
3:6
Final
Toronto Marlies

The sheet

LVTORSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
39%61%
xG
2.83.5
High danger
46
Chances
1414
Shots
2937

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
TOR above the lineLV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 55% TOR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

29Shots on goal37
14Scoring chances14
4High-danger chances6
2.82Expected goals3.50

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st11–106–14–11.3–0.6
2nd10–175–100–30.9–2.0
3rd8–103–30–20.7–0.9

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

LV−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
LV38:41 of the 3rd11:1911:19+0.016 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Cal Petersen
Shots faced
37
Saves
31
Allowed
6
xGA
3.50
GSAx
-2.50
Artur Akhtyamov
Shots faced
29
Saves
26
Allowed
3
xGA
2.82
GSAx
-0.18

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:12Penalty
  • 1st 3:15Jacob Gaucher (1–0)5v4 · high · 9 ft · beat Artur Akhtyamov
  • 1st 6:21Penalty
  • 1st 10:52Jacob Gaucher (2–0)medium · 14 ft · beat Artur Akhtyamov
  • 1st 16:12Penalty
  • 1st 17:42Penalty
  • 2nd 0:28Mikko Kokkonen (2–1)medium · 11 ft · beat Cal Petersen
  • 2nd 3:55Nick Abruzzese (2–2)high · 9 ft · beat Cal Petersen
  • 2nd 6:58Alex Steeves (2–3)high · 7 ft · beat Cal Petersen
  • 2nd 10:34Mikko Kokkonen (2–4)low · 35 ft · beat Cal Petersen
  • 2nd 13:54Penalty
  • 2nd 18:17Penalty
  • 2nd 19:49J.R. Avon (3–4)5v4 · medium · 46 ft · beat Artur Akhtyamov
  • 3rd 6:31Matt Benning (3–5)low · 47 ft · beat Cal Petersen
  • 3rd 8:41Logan Shaw (3–6)low · 30 ft · beat Cal Petersen