AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, December 11

Rochester Americans at Laval Rocket

Place Bell · Laval, QC

Rochester Americans
3:1
Final
Laval Rocket

The sheet

ROCLAVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
56%44%
xG
2.62.6
High danger
33
Chances
118
Shots
2926

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
LAV above the lineROC belowDots are goals. Pre-game 56% LAV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

29Shots on goal26
11Scoring chances8
3High-danger chances3
2.56Expected goals2.63

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st9–92–10–10.6–0.6
2nd13–94–41–11.1–0.9
3rd7–85–32–10.9–1.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

LAV−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
LAV212:09 of the 3rd7:517:51+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Connor Hughes
Shots faced
29
Saves
26
Allowed
3
xGA
2.55
GSAx
-0.45
Devon Levi
Shots faced
26
Saves
25
Allowed
1
xGA
2.63
GSAx
+1.63

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 5:07Jared Davidson (0–1)low · wrist · 34 ft · beat Devon Levi
  • 1st 10:15Penalty
  • 1st 13:22Penalty
  • 1st 13:22Penalty
  • 2nd 4:59Penalty
  • 2nd 7:16Riley Fiddler-Schultz (1–1)medium · wrist · 24 ft · beat Connor Hughes
  • 2nd 9:24Penalty
  • 2nd 10:53Ethan Prow (2–1)5v4 · low · slap · 51 ft · beat Connor Hughes
  • 2nd 13:07Isak Rosén (3–1)medium · backhand · 25 ft · beat Connor Hughes
  • 2nd 13:59Penalty
  • 3rd 13:30Penalty
  • 3rd 13:30Penalty
  • 3rd 14:11Penalty
  • 3rd 17:03Penalty