AHLDashboard
‹ Thursday, December 12

San Jose Barracuda at Coachella Valley Firebirds

Acrisure Arena · Palm Desert, CA

San Jose Barracuda
4:3
Final / SO
Coachella Valley Firebirds

The sheet

SJCVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
86%14%
xG
6.42.8
High danger
144
Chances
2510
Shots
5229

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0246P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CV above the lineSJ belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% CV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

52Shots on goal29
25Scoring chances10
14High-danger chances4
6.43Expected goals2.80

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st9–85–22–11.0–0.7
2nd25–514–410–13.7–0.7
3rd14–145–41–21.2–1.3
OT4–21–01–00.5–0.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

SJ−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
SJ116:56 of the 3rd3:041:41+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Aleš Stezka
Shots faced
52
Saves
49
Allowed
3
xGA
6.43
GSAx
+3.43
Yaroslav Askarov
Shots faced
29
Saves
26
Allowed
3
xGA
2.80
GSAx
-0.20

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 8:53Penalty
  • 1st 8:53Penalty
  • 1st 12:46Penalty
  • 1st 18:03Penalty
  • 1st 18:03Penalty
  • 1st 19:15Penalty
  • 2nd 1:03Danil Gushchin (1–0)5v4 · high · 28 ft · beat Aleš Stezka
  • 2nd 1:23Penalty
  • 2nd 2:35Lucas Carlsson (2–0)5v4 · medium · 47 ft · beat Aleš Stezka
  • 2nd 5:45Penalty
  • 2nd 9:04Penalty
  • 2nd 10:27Penalty
  • 2nd 10:48Jani Nyman (2–1)5v4 · high · 24 ft · beat Yaroslav Askarov
  • 2nd 11:53Jagger Firkus (2–2)5v4 · medium · 24 ft · beat Yaroslav Askarov
  • 2nd 14:50Penalty
  • 2nd 19:22Penalty
  • 3rd 9:52Penalty
  • 3rd 9:52Penalty
  • 3rd 14:41Brandon Biro (2–3)low · 47 ft · beat Yaroslav Askarov
  • 3rd 14:46Penalty
  • 3rd 18:37Andrew Poturalski (3–3)medium · 29 ft · beat Aleš Stezka