Charlotte Checkers at Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins

Mohegan Arena at Casey Plaza · Wilkes-Barre, PA

Charlotte Checkers

4:0

Final

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins

The sheet

CLTWBSSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

51%49%

xG: 3.22.7
High danger: 34
Chances: 169
Shots: 3129

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

WBS above the lineCLT belowDots are goals. Pre-game 51% WBS.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

31Shots on goal29

16Scoring chances9

3High-danger chances4

3.21Expected goals2.74

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	10–7	5–2	1–1	1.1–0.7
2nd	9–11	4–5	1–2	0.7–1.1
3rd	12–11	7–2	1–1	1.4–0.9

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
WBS	3	0:00 of the 3rd	20:00	20:00	+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Joel Blomqvist

Shots faced: 31
Saves: 27
Allowed: 4
xGA: 3.21
GSAx: -0.79

Ken Appleby

Shots faced: 29
Saves: 29
Allowed: 0
xGA: 2.74
GSAx: +2.74

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 0:15Rasmus Asplund (1–0)medium · wrist · 24 ft · beat Joel Blomqvist
1st 1:59Penalty
1st 6:47John Leonard (2–0)medium · tip · 10 ft · beat Joel Blomqvist
1st 8:07Penalty
1st 8:35Penalty
1st 12:40Penalty
1st 15:39Penalty
1st 15:39Penalty
1st 17:17Penalty
1st 17:17Penalty
1st 19:39Penalty
2nd 0:38Penalty
2nd 10:30Penalty
2nd 10:30Penalty
2nd 11:21Penalty
2nd 13:51Patrick Giles (3–0)low · snap · 44 ft · beat Joel Blomqvist
2nd 19:02Penalty
2nd 19:02Penalty
2nd 19:02Penalty
2nd 19:02Penalty
3rd 5:19Penalty
3rd 6:14Ben Steeves (4–0)5v4 · high · tip · rebound · 37 ft · beat Joel Blomqvist
3rd 7:37Penalty
3rd 11:48Penalty
3rd 11:48Penalty