Laval Rocket at Hartford Wolf Pack

XL Center · Hartford, CT

Laval Rocket

2:4

Final

Hartford Wolf Pack

The sheet

LAVHFDSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

78%22%

xG: 3.92.0
High danger: 93
Chances: 139
Shots: 3621

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

HFD above the lineLAV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 50% HFD.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

36Shots on goal21

13Scoring chances9

9High-danger chances3

3.93Expected goals2.02

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	11–4	5–2	4–2	1.6–0.4
2nd	13–12	4–5	1–1	0.9–1.3
3rd	12–5	4–2	4–0	1.4–0.3

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
LAV	3	0:00 of the 3rd	20:00	7:45	+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Dylan Garand

Shots faced: 36
Saves: 34
Allowed: 2
xGA: 3.93
GSAx: +1.93

Luke Cavallin

Shots faced: 11
Saves: 9
Allowed: 2
xGA: 1.09
GSAx: -0.91

Connor Hughes

Shots faced: 10
Saves: 8
Allowed: 2
xGA: 0.93
GSAx: -1.07

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 4:52Penalty
1st 10:27Penalty
1st 12:55Penalty
1st 12:55Penalty
1st 14:09Penalty
1st 18:50Adam Sýkora (0–1)high · rebound · 8 ft · beat Connor Hughes
2nd 0:46Penalty
2nd 6:10Penalty
2nd 9:14Penalty
2nd 9:24Jake Leschyshyn (0–2)5v4 · low · 57 ft · beat Connor Hughes
2nd 11:25Alex Belzile (0–3)medium · 21 ft · beat Luke Cavallin
2nd 16:44Penalty
3rd 3:34Zack Hayes (1–3)low · 66 ft · beat Dylan Garand
3rd 10:03Penalty
3rd 13:16Sean Farrell (2–3)low · 55 ft · beat Dylan Garand
3rd 18:51Penalty
3rd 18:51Penalty
3rd 19:54Penalty
3rd 19:54Ben Harpur (2–4)empty net · low · 162 ft · beat Luke Cavallin