AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, December 15

Laval Rocket at Bridgeport Islanders

Total Mortgage Arena · Bridgeport, CT

Laval Rocket
6:2
Final
Bridgeport Islanders

The sheet

LAVBRISolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
83%17%
xG
2.71.5
High danger
31
Chances
95
Shots
3318

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
BRI above the lineLAV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 51% BRI.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

33Shots on goal18
9Scoring chances5
3High-danger chances1
2.70Expected goals1.51

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st8–62–10–00.5–0.4
2nd9–111–40–10.4–1.1
3rd16–16–03–01.8–0.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

BRI−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
BRI310:41 of the 3rd9:199:19+0.013 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Henrik Tikkanen
Shots faced
33
Saves
27
Allowed
6
xGA
2.70
GSAx
-3.30
Luke Cavallin
Shots faced
18
Saves
16
Allowed
2
xGA
1.51
GSAx
-0.49

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 6:03Laurent Dauphin (1–0)medium · 18 ft · beat Henrik Tikkanen
  • 1st 20:00Penalty
  • 1st 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 9:18Penalty
  • 2nd 10:45William Dufour (1–1)5v4 · medium · 35 ft · beat Luke Cavallin
  • 2nd 14:51Penalty
  • 2nd 16:17Fredrik Karlström (1–2)5v4 · low · 71 ft · beat Luke Cavallin
  • 3rd 3:10Florian Xhekaj (2–2)high · 12 ft · beat Henrik Tikkanen
  • 3rd 5:48Penalty
  • 3rd 8:34William Trudeau (3–2)low · 25 ft · beat Henrik Tikkanen
  • 3rd 8:47Penalty
  • 3rd 10:06Florian Xhekaj (4–2)5v4 · high · 16 ft · beat Henrik Tikkanen
  • 3rd 10:41Florian Xhekaj (5–2)grade A · rebound · 15 ft · beat Henrik Tikkanen
  • 3rd 14:10Penalty
  • 3rd 15:08Jared Davidson (6–2)5v4 · medium · 57 ft · beat Henrik Tikkanen