Utica Comets at Cleveland Monsters

Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse · Cleveland, OH

Utica Comets

3:2

Final

Cleveland Monsters

The sheet

UTCCLESolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

64%36%

xG: 3.02.3
High danger: 53
Chances: 98
Shots: 3530

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

CLE above the lineUTC belowDots are goals. Pre-game 55% CLE.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

35Shots on goal30

9Scoring chances8

5High-danger chances3

3.04Expected goals2.29

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	12–11	3–3	1–1	0.8–1.0
2nd	14–11	5–5	3–2	1.6–1.0
3rd	9–8	1–0	1–0	0.6–0.3

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
CLE	1	16:56 of the 3rd	3:04	3:04	+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Zach Sawchenko

Shots faced: 35
Saves: 32
Allowed: 3
xGA: 3.04
GSAx: +0.04

Isaac Poulter

Shots faced: 30
Saves: 28
Allowed: 2
xGA: 2.29
GSAx: +0.29

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 11:55Penalty
1st 11:55Penalty
1st 13:49Hunter McKown (0–1)medium · 7 ft · beat Isaac Poulter
1st 16:27Penalty
2nd 1:07Adam Beckman (1–1)low · 37 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
2nd 5:38Penalty
2nd 5:38Penalty
2nd 6:17Adam Beckman (2–1)high · 17 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
2nd 10:14Rocco Grimaldi (2–2)medium · 10 ft · beat Isaac Poulter
3rd 13:24Mike Hardman (3–2)high · 10 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
3rd 16:51Penalty
3rd 16:51Penalty
3rd 16:51Penalty
3rd 16:51Penalty
3rd 16:51Penalty
3rd 16:51Penalty
3rd 16:51Penalty