AHLDashboard
Wednesday, December 18

Providence Bruins at Lehigh Valley Phantoms

PPL Center · Allentown, PA

Providence Bruins
3:4
Final / OT
Lehigh Valley Phantoms

The sheet

PROLVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
33%67%
xG
1.83.1
High danger
33
Chances
510
Shots
2035

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
LV above the linePRO belowDots are goals. Pre-game 49% LV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

20Shots on goal35
5Scoring chances10
3High-danger chances3
1.76Expected goals3.15

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st81324100.71.1
2nd8620100.70.3
3rd41416130.41.6
OT0200000.00.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
35
Saves
31
Allowed
4
xGA
3.15
GSAx
-0.85
Shots faced
20
Saves
17
Allowed
3
xGA
1.77
GSAx
-1.23

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 8:28Penalty
  • 1st 15:44Penalty
  • 1st 18:22Penalty
  • 1st 18:50Matthew Poitras (1–0)5v4 · low · 46 ft · beat Cal Petersen
  • 2nd 5:07Riley Tufte (2–0)low · 14 ft · beat Cal Petersen
  • 2nd 5:27Penalty
  • 2nd 11:54Penalty
  • 2nd 16:26Penalty
  • 2nd 16:26Penalty
  • 2nd 17:43Penalty
  • 3rd 1:54Jacob Gaucher (2–1)medium · 12 ft · beat Brandon Bussi
  • 3rd 3:19Garrett Wilson (2–2)grade A · rebound · 9 ft · beat Brandon Bussi
  • 3rd 6:11Massimo Rizzo (2–3)low · 12 ft · beat Brandon Bussi
  • 3rd 6:29Riley Duran (3–3)high · 13 ft · beat Cal Petersen
  • OT 0:14Olle Lycksell (3–4)low · 47 ft · beat Brandon Bussi