AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, December 18

San Jose Barracuda at Coachella Valley Firebirds

Acrisure Arena · Palm Desert, CA

San Jose Barracuda
5:2
Final
Coachella Valley Firebirds

The sheet

SJCVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
55%45%
xG
2.52.8
High danger
52
Chances
1113
Shots
2130

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CV above the lineSJ belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% CV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

21Shots on goal30
11Scoring chances13
5High-danger chances2
2.46Expected goals2.82

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st7–104–41–10.8–0.9
2nd8–104–41–11.0–1.1
3rd6–103–53–00.7–0.9

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CV−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CV212:14 of the 3rd7:467:46+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Georgii Romanov
Shots faced
30
Saves
28
Allowed
2
xGA
2.82
GSAx
+0.82
Aleš Stezka
Shots faced
20
Saves
16
Allowed
4
xGA
2.44
GSAx
-1.56

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 0:34Logan Morrison (0–1)high · rebound · 33 ft · beat Georgii Romanov
  • 1st 1:27Penalty
  • 1st 10:11Penalty
  • 1st 10:43Andrew Poturalski (1–1)5v4 · medium · 21 ft · beat Aleš Stezka
  • 1st 16:44Penalty
  • 2nd 3:09Lucas Carlsson (2–1)low · 26 ft · beat Aleš Stezka
  • 2nd 3:52Penalty
  • 2nd 7:44Penalty
  • 2nd 8:55Danil Gushchin (3–1)5v4 · medium · 23 ft · beat Aleš Stezka
  • 2nd 9:45Penalty
  • 2nd 14:33Penalty
  • 2nd 14:51John Hayden (3–2)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 10 ft · beat Georgii Romanov
  • 2nd 15:58Penalty
  • 3rd 0:08Penalty
  • 3rd 0:08Penalty
  • 3rd 9:56Penalty
  • 3rd 11:42Penalty
  • 3rd 12:14Luca Cagnoni (4–2)5v4 · low · 59 ft · beat Aleš Stezka
  • 3rd 12:42Penalty
  • 3rd 19:54Jake Furlong (5–2)empty net · low · 58 ft