AHLDashboard
‹ Thursday, December 19

Utica Comets at Cleveland Monsters

Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse · Cleveland, OH

Utica Comets
1:6
Final
Cleveland Monsters

The sheet

UTCCLESolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
16%84%
xG
1.63.6
High danger
26
Chances
516
Shots
2238

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CLE above the lineUTC belowDots are goals. Pre-game 55% CLE.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

22Shots on goal38
5Scoring chances16
2High-danger chances6
1.59Expected goals3.65

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st7–121–30–10.3–0.9
2nd11–143–72–31.0–1.5
3rd4–121–60–20.3–1.3

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

UTC−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
UTC30:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Nico Daws
Shots faced
38
Saves
32
Allowed
6
xGA
3.65
GSAx
-2.35
Pavel Cajan
Shots faced
22
Saves
21
Allowed
1
xGA
1.59
GSAx
+0.59

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:09Luca Del Bel Belluz (0–1)medium · 14 ft · beat Nico Daws
  • 1st 8:30Penalty
  • 1st 11:13Denton Mateychuk (0–2)low · 61 ft · beat Nico Daws
  • 1st 19:38Penalty
  • 2nd 0:57Denton Mateychuk (0–3)5v4 · low · 62 ft · beat Nico Daws
  • 2nd 4:16Penalty
  • 2nd 5:56Chase Stillman (1–3)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 61 ft · beat Pavel Cajan
  • 2nd 9:46Gavin Brindley (1–4)high · tip · 9 ft · beat Nico Daws
  • 2nd 10:34Penalty
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 6:56Penalty
  • 3rd 7:39Penalty
  • 3rd 7:39Penalty
  • 3rd 10:35Dylan Gambrell (1–5)5v4 · low · 36 ft · beat Nico Daws
  • 3rd 11:06Penalty
  • 3rd 11:06Penalty
  • 3rd 11:06Penalty
  • 3rd 11:06Penalty
  • 3rd 11:06Penalty
  • 3rd 11:06Penalty
  • 3rd 11:06Justin Pearson (1–6)medium · tip · 9 ft · beat Nico Daws
  • 3rd 12:16Penalty
  • 3rd 14:19Penalty
  • 3rd 19:07Penalty
  • 3rd 19:07Penalty