Milwaukee Admirals at Grand Rapids Griffins

Van Andel Arena · Grand Rapids, MI

Milwaukee Admirals

6:1

Final

Grand Rapids Griffins

The sheet

MILGRSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

88%12%

xG: 3.11.1
High danger: 51
Chances: 114
Shots: 2716

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

GR above the lineMIL belowDots are goals. Pre-game 56% GR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

27Shots on goal16

11Scoring chances4

5High-danger chances1

3.08Expected goals1.09

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	6–8	1–2	0–1	0.4–0.6
2nd	10–4	4–0	2–0	1.3–0.1
3rd	11–4	6–2	3–0	1.4–0.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
GR	3	0:00 of the 3rd	20:00	20:00	+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Ville Husso

Shots faced: 27
Saves: 21
Allowed: 6
xGA: 3.08
GSAx: -2.92

Matthew Murray

Shots faced: 16
Saves: 15
Allowed: 1
xGA: 1.09
GSAx: +0.09

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 9:36Penalty
1st 10:36Kieffer Bellows (1–0)5v4 · medium · 35 ft · beat Ville Husso
1st 19:59Penalty
2nd 4:08Penalty
2nd 5:41Ozzy Wiesblatt (2–0)4v5 · high · 7 ft · beat Ville Husso
2nd 7:44Penalty
2nd 11:51Vinnie Hinostroza (3–0)grade A · rebound · 11 ft · beat Ville Husso
2nd 16:40Penalty
3rd 0:26Vinnie Hinostroza (4–0)high · 4 ft · beat Ville Husso
3rd 0:47Penalty
3rd 4:58Penalty
3rd 6:29Penalty
3rd 6:29Penalty
3rd 6:29Penalty
3rd 6:29Penalty
3rd 6:29Penalty
3rd 6:29Penalty
3rd 6:56Vinnie Hinostroza (5–0)5v4 · medium · 34 ft · beat Ville Husso
3rd 7:54Jake Lucchini (6–0)medium · 32 ft · beat Ville Husso
3rd 11:34Penalty
3rd 13:05Joe Snively (6–1)5v4 · medium · 16 ft · beat Matthew Murray
3rd 17:38Penalty
3rd 17:38Penalty
3rd 17:38Penalty