AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, December 20

Belleville Senators at Laval Rocket

Place Bell · Laval, QC

Belleville Senators
1:2
Final
Laval Rocket

The sheet

BELLAVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
57%43%
xG
2.42.0
High danger
43
Chances
77
Shots
3221

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.522.5P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
LAV above the lineBEL belowDots are goals. Pre-game 57% LAV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

32Shots on goal21
7Scoring chances7
4High-danger chances3
2.38Expected goals1.97

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st4–110–30–20.2–1.0
2nd16–55–13–11.3–0.5
3rd12–52–31–00.9–0.5

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

BEL−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
BEL116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Jakub Dobeš
Shots faced
32
Saves
31
Allowed
1
xGA
2.38
GSAx
+1.38
Mads Søgaard
Shots faced
21
Saves
19
Allowed
2
xGA
1.97
GSAx
-0.03

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 0:19Penalty
  • 1st 9:07Penalty
  • 1st 13:43Penalty
  • 1st 16:03Penalty
  • 1st 16:03Penalty
  • 1st 19:31Penalty
  • 1st 19:31Penalty
  • 2nd 2:04Penalty
  • 2nd 2:04Penalty
  • 2nd 2:04Penalty
  • 2nd 2:04Penalty
  • 2nd 3:03Penalty
  • 2nd 3:03Penalty
  • 2nd 3:10Penalty
  • 2nd 4:20Penalty
  • 2nd 6:36Penalty
  • 2nd 6:36Penalty
  • 2nd 6:36Penalty
  • 2nd 10:39Penalty
  • 2nd 10:39Penalty
  • 2nd 15:50Rafaël Harvey-Pinard (0–1)high · wrist · 3 ft · beat Mads Søgaard
  • 2nd 17:46Penalty
  • 2nd 18:14Penalty
  • 2nd 19:35Maxence Guenette (1–1)low · wrist · 51 ft · beat Jakub Dobeš
  • 3rd 4:29Penalty
  • 3rd 4:29Penalty
  • 3rd 4:29Penalty
  • 3rd 5:10Joshua Roy (1–2)5v4 · medium · wrist · 42 ft · beat Mads Søgaard
  • 3rd 9:55Penalty
  • 3rd 14:31Penalty