AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, December 20

Henderson Silver Knights at Calgary Wranglers

Scotiabank Saddledome · Calgary, AB

Henderson Silver Knights
3:5
Final
Calgary Wranglers

The sheet

HSKCGYSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
59%41%
xG
3.43.0
High danger
75
Chances
1610
Shots
3030

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CGY above the lineHSK belowDots are goals. Pre-game 47% CGY.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

30Shots on goal30
16Scoring chances10
7High-danger chances5
3.41Expected goals2.99

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st6–94–12–00.7–0.6
2nd13–118–63–21.5–1.2
3rd11–104–32–31.2–1.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

HSK−2−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
HSK212:09 of the 3rd7:517:12+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Devin Cooley
Shots faced
30
Saves
27
Allowed
3
xGA
3.41
GSAx
+0.41
Akira Schmid
Shots faced
30
Saves
25
Allowed
5
xGA
2.99
GSAx
-2.01

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 8:04Penalty
  • 1st 8:04Penalty
  • 1st 8:24Penalty
  • 1st 11:55Adam Klapka (0–1)low · wrist · 52 ft · beat Akira Schmid
  • 1st 15:21Penalty
  • 1st 19:36Penalty
  • 2nd 1:25Raphael Lavoie (1–1)5v4 · medium · wrist · 18 ft · beat Devin Cooley
  • 2nd 2:43Penalty
  • 2nd 5:49Penalty
  • 2nd 6:59Raphael Lavoie (2–1)5v4 · medium · slap · 29 ft · beat Devin Cooley
  • 2nd 8:54Rory Kerins (2–2)high · tip · 9 ft · beat Akira Schmid
  • 2nd 14:04Penalty
  • 2nd 15:12William Strömgren (2–3)5v4 · medium · wrist · 19 ft · beat Akira Schmid
  • 2nd 16:04Adam Klapka (2–4)high · wrist · 14 ft · beat Akira Schmid
  • 2nd 18:07Penalty
  • 3rd 4:39Penalty
  • 3rd 13:05Penalty
  • 3rd 16:17Braeden Bowman (3–4)grade A · wrist · rebound · 8 ft · beat Devin Cooley
  • 3rd 18:48Clark Bishop (3–5)empty net · low · wrist · 56 ft · beat Akira Schmid