AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, December 22

Rockford IceHogs at Manitoba Moose

Canada Life Centre · Winnipeg, MB

Rockford IceHogs
5:1
Final
Manitoba Moose

The sheet

RFDMBSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
50%50%
xG
2.83.0
High danger
55
Chances
1211
Shots
1933

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
MB above the lineRFD belowDots are goals. Pre-game 55% MB.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

19Shots on goal33
12Scoring chances11
5High-danger chances5
2.84Expected goals3.00

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st8–144–41–11.2–1.2
2nd9–106–34–31.4–1.0
3rd2–92–40–10.2–0.8

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

MB−50:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
MB50:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.005 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Drew Commesso
Shots faced
33
Saves
32
Allowed
1
xGA
3.00
GSAx
+2.00
Thomas Milic
Shots faced
19
Saves
14
Allowed
5
xGA
2.84
GSAx
-2.16

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 5:13Penalty
  • 1st 5:13Penalty
  • 1st 5:19Cole Guttman (1–0)low · 60 ft · beat Thomas Milic
  • 1st 8:24Penalty
  • 1st 11:40Landon Slaggert (2–0)grade A · rebound · 4 ft · beat Thomas Milic
  • 1st 17:58Penalty
  • 1st 17:58Penalty
  • 2nd 0:44Penalty
  • 2nd 7:03Jalen Luypen (3–0)high · 7 ft · beat Thomas Milic
  • 2nd 10:55Penalty
  • 2nd 14:23Penalty
  • 2nd 14:23Penalty
  • 2nd 14:32Landon Slaggert (4–0)grade A · 14 ft · beat Thomas Milic
  • 2nd 15:16Cole Guttman (5–0)high · 24 ft · beat Thomas Milic
  • 3rd 11:07Penalty
  • 3rd 12:17Penalty
  • 3rd 12:39Jaret Anderson-Dolan (5–1)5v4 · medium · 30 ft · beat Drew Commesso
  • 3rd 20:00Penalty