Rochester Americans at Cleveland Monsters

Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse · Cleveland, OH

Rochester Americans

3:2

Final

Cleveland Monsters

The sheet

ROCCLESolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

85%15%

xG: 4.32.2
High danger: 72
Chances: 188
Shots: 3325

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

CLE above the lineROC belowDots are goals. Pre-game 56% CLE.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

33Shots on goal25

18Scoring chances8

7High-danger chances2

4.29Expected goals2.15

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	8–9	4–3	3–2	1.1–1.1
2nd	21–6	12–1	3–0	2.5–0.3
3rd	4–10	2–4	1–0	0.7–0.8

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
CLE	2	12:09 of the 3rd	7:51	7:51	+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Zach Sawchenko

Shots faced: 33
Saves: 30
Allowed: 3
xGA: 4.29
GSAx: +1.29

Devon Levi

Shots faced: 25
Saves: 23
Allowed: 2
xGA: 2.16
GSAx: +0.16

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 4:42Brett Murray (1–0)grade A · rebound · 12 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
1st 10:11Josh Dunne (2–0)low · 68 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
2nd 7:40Penalty
2nd 13:38Stanislav Svozil (2–1)low · 42 ft · beat Devon Levi
2nd 14:07Zach Metsa (3–1)low · 63 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
2nd 14:47Penalty
3rd 2:16Penalty
3rd 17:04Penalty
3rd 17:04Penalty
3rd 19:52Daemon Hunt (3–2)medium · 12 ft · beat Devon Levi