Henderson Silver Knights at Calgary Wranglers

Scotiabank Saddledome · Calgary, AB

Henderson Silver Knights

3:0

Final

Calgary Wranglers

The sheet

HSKCGYSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

48%52%

xG: 4.24.0
High danger: 46
Chances: 1214
Shots: 3842

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

CGY above the lineHSK belowDots are goals. Pre-game 47% CGY.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

38Shots on goal42

12Scoring chances14

4High-danger chances6

4.22Expected goals4.00

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	16–19	2–7	1–1	1.3–1.5
2nd	12–15	6–6	2–5	1.5–1.9
3rd	10–8	4–1	1–0	1.3–0.5

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
CGY	2	12:09 of the 3rd	7:51	7:51	+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Carl Lindbom

Shots faced: 42
Saves: 42
Allowed: 0
xGA: 4.00
GSAx: +4.00

Devin Cooley

Shots faced: 37
Saves: 35
Allowed: 2
xGA: 4.06
GSAx: +2.06

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 8:24Matyas Sapovaliv (1–0)grade A · wrist · rebound · 5 ft · beat Devin Cooley
1st 9:19Penalty
1st 9:19Penalty
1st 15:15Penalty
1st 19:59Penalty
1st 19:59Penalty
1st 19:59Penalty
2nd 9:23Penalty
2nd 10:33Penalty
3rd 6:14Penalty
3rd 7:21Raphael Lavoie (2–0)5v4 · medium · snap · 24 ft · beat Devin Cooley
3rd 11:55Penalty
3rd 19:59Braeden Bowman (3–0)empty net · medium · wrist · 4 ft