Texas Stars at Grand Rapids Griffins

Van Andel Arena · Grand Rapids, MI

Texas Stars

3:2

Final / OT

Grand Rapids Griffins

The sheet

TEXGRSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

86%14%

xG: 3.51.5
High danger: 51
Chances: 103
Shots: 3029

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

GR above the lineTEX belowDots are goals. Pre-game 55% GR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

30Shots on goal29

10Scoring chances3

5High-danger chances1

3.54Expected goals1.48

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	11–11	5–0	2–0	1.3–0.6
2nd	9–7	1–2	0–0	0.6–0.4
3rd	6–11	3–1	2–1	0.9–0.5
OT	4–0	1–0	1–0	0.7–0.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
TEX	1	16:56 of the 3rd	3:04	1:40	+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Sebastian Cossa

Shots faced: 30
Saves: 27
Allowed: 3
xGA: 3.54
GSAx: +0.54

Magnus Hellberg

Shots faced: 29
Saves: 27
Allowed: 2
xGA: 1.48
GSAx: -0.52

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 3:27Dominik Shine (0–1)low · wrist · 22 ft · beat Magnus Hellberg
1st 8:28Elmer Söderblom (0–2)low · wrist · 41 ft · beat Magnus Hellberg
1st 14:30Penalty
2nd 11:33Penalty
2nd 16:26Justin Hryckowian (1–2)medium · 5 ft · beat Sebastian Cossa
2nd 17:07Penalty
2nd 19:50Penalty
3rd 18:36Justin Hryckowian (2–2)grade A · 6 ft · beat Sebastian Cossa
3rd 18:42Penalty
OT 1:28Arttu Hyry (3–2)5v4 · grade A · wrist · rebound · 4 ft · beat Sebastian Cossa