AHLDashboard
Friday, December 27

Ontario Reign at San Diego Gulls

Pechanga Arena San Diego · San Diego, CA

Ontario Reign
3:4
Final / SO
San Diego Gulls

The sheet

ONTSDSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
27%73%
xG
2.03.7
High danger
37
Chances
714
Shots
2434

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SD above the lineONT belowDots are goals. Pre-game 51% SD.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

24Shots on goal34
7Scoring chances14
3High-danger chances7
2.03Expected goals3.75

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st9854221.01.0
2nd101528150.81.9
3rd3901000.10.6
OT2201000.10.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
34
Saves
31
Allowed
3
xGA
3.75
GSAx
+0.75
Shots faced
13
Saves
13
Allowed
0
xGA
0.75
GSAx
+0.75
Shots faced
11
Saves
8
Allowed
3
xGA
1.28
GSAx
-1.72

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 0:21Francesco Pinelli (1–0)low · 35 ft · beat Oscar Dansk
  • 1st 0:33Penalty
  • 1st 9:06Penalty
  • 1st 9:06Penalty
  • 1st 9:06Penalty
  • 1st 9:06Penalty
  • 1st 11:34Penalty
  • 1st 13:15Penalty
  • 1st 15:44Penalty
  • 1st 16:05Ryan Carpenter (1–1)4v5 · medium · 14 ft · beat Erik Portillo
  • 1st 18:30Francesco Pinelli (2–1)medium · 28 ft · beat Oscar Dansk
  • 2nd 1:12Yegor Sidorov (2–2)low · 46 ft · beat Erik Portillo
  • 2nd 2:00Penalty
  • 2nd 3:12Arthur Kaliyev (3–2)5v4 · high · 26 ft · beat Oscar Dansk
  • 2nd 4:24Penalty
  • 2nd 4:51Penalty
  • 2nd 8:20Penalty
  • 2nd 8:31Ryan Carpenter (3–3)5v4 · high · 12 ft · beat Erik Portillo
  • 2nd 19:13Penalty
  • 3rd 3:33Penalty
  • 3rd 7:12Penalty
  • 3rd 10:28Penalty