AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, December 28

Syracuse Crunch at Laval Rocket

Place Bell · Laval, QC

Syracuse Crunch
5:2
Final
Laval Rocket

The sheet

SYRLAVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
73%27%
xG
3.22.2
High danger
74
Chances
137
Shots
3223

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
LAV above the lineSYR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% LAV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

32Shots on goal23
13Scoring chances7
7High-danger chances4
3.20Expected goals2.19

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st10–104–22–11.0–0.8
2nd10–83–32–30.9–1.0
3rd12–56–23–01.3–0.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

LAV−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
LAV35:25 of the 3rd14:3514:35+0.020 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Luke Cavallin
Shots faced
32
Saves
27
Allowed
5
xGA
3.20
GSAx
-1.80
Brandon Halverson
Shots faced
23
Saves
21
Allowed
2
xGA
2.19
GSAx
+0.19

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 9:25Penalty
  • 1st 12:44Penalty
  • 1st 20:00Penalty
  • 1st 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 2:09Xavier Simoneau (0–1)low · wrist · 45 ft · beat Brandon Halverson
  • 2nd 3:11Penalty
  • 2nd 3:45Penalty
  • 2nd 7:05Penalty
  • 2nd 7:05Penalty
  • 2nd 8:25Gabriel Szturc (1–1)5v4 · high · wrist · 22 ft · beat Luke Cavallin
  • 2nd 13:15Penalty
  • 2nd 17:45Jesse Ylonen (2–1)high · wrist · 9 ft · beat Luke Cavallin
  • 2nd 18:59Max Crozier (3–1)low · 42 ft · beat Luke Cavallin
  • 3rd 1:30Penalty
  • 3rd 2:56Penalty
  • 3rd 5:25Joel Teasdale (4–1)high · wrist · 15 ft · beat Luke Cavallin
  • 3rd 12:27Penalty
  • 3rd 13:11Alex Barré-Boulet (4–2)5v4 · medium · slap · 32 ft · beat Brandon Halverson
  • 3rd 17:15Gabriel Fortier (5–2)empty net · high · wrist · 10 ft · beat Luke Cavallin
  • 3rd 19:57Penalty
  • 3rd 19:57Penalty
  • 3rd 19:57Penalty