AHLDashboard
Saturday, December 28

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins at Hershey Bears

Giant Center · Hershey, PA

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
2:3
Final / OT
Hershey Bears

The sheet

WBSHERSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
39%61%
xG
2.43.0
High danger
23
Chances
811
Shots
2531

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
HER above the lineWBS belowDots are goals. Pre-game 51% HER.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

25Shots on goal31
8Scoring chances11
2High-danger chances3
2.36Expected goals2.98

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st91422100.70.9
2nd9846131.01.2
3rd6823000.50.7
OT1100000.10.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
31
Saves
28
Allowed
3
xGA
2.98
GSAx
-0.02
Shots faced
25
Saves
23
Allowed
2
xGA
2.36
GSAx
+0.36

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 3:14Penalty
  • 1st 6:12Penalty
  • 1st 6:12Penalty
  • 1st 10:14Penalty
  • 1st 17:27Penalty
  • 1st 17:27Penalty
  • 1st 17:46Mike Sgarbossa (0–1)low · 34 ft · beat Joel Blomqvist
  • 2nd 4:18Penalty
  • 2nd 8:36Avery Hayes (1–1)medium · 4 ft · beat Hunter Shepard
  • 2nd 10:15Penalty
  • 2nd 17:41Penalty
  • 3rd 2:34Pierrick Dubé (1–2)low · 30 ft · beat Joel Blomqvist
  • 3rd 11:38Ville Koivunen (2–2)low · 58 ft · beat Hunter Shepard
  • OT 1:15Ethen Frank (2–3)low · 13 ft · beat Joel Blomqvist