Grand Rapids Griffins at Cleveland Monsters

Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse · Cleveland, OH

Grand Rapids Griffins

5:1

Final

Cleveland Monsters

The sheet

GRCLESolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

46%54%

xG: 2.73.1
High danger: 65
Chances: 1010
Shots: 2433

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

CLE above the lineGR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% CLE.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

24Shots on goal33

10Scoring chances10

6High-danger chances5

2.69Expected goals3.11

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	10–13	4–3	3–0	1.1–1.0
2nd	6–14	2–5	0–3	0.6–1.5
3rd	8–6	4–2	3–2	1.0–0.7

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
CLE	3	10:37 of the 3rd	9:23	9:23	+0.013 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Ville Husso

Shots faced: 33
Saves: 32
Allowed: 1
xGA: 3.11
GSAx: +2.11

Jet Greaves

Shots faced: 23
Saves: 19
Allowed: 4
xGA: 2.46
GSAx: -1.54

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 2:44Penalty
1st 2:44Penalty
1st 15:18Joe Snively (1–0)medium · snap · 28 ft · beat Jet Greaves
1st 18:08Penalty
1st 18:25Dominik Shine (2–0)5v4 · high · tip · 5 ft · beat Jet Greaves
1st 19:49Penalty
1st 19:49Penalty
1st 19:49Penalty
1st 19:49Penalty
1st 19:49Penalty
2nd 1:54Hunter McKown (2–1)high · snap · rebound · 33 ft · beat Ville Husso
2nd 2:33Penalty
2nd 5:47Penalty
2nd 5:47Penalty
3rd 1:51Gabriel Seger (3–1)medium · snap · 18 ft · beat Jet Greaves
3rd 8:34Penalty
3rd 10:32Penalty
3rd 10:37Joe Snively (4–1)5v4 · high · snap · 20 ft · beat Jet Greaves
3rd 16:29Joe Snively (5–1)empty net · high · snap · 10 ft
3rd 18:43Penalty