Charlotte Checkers at Lehigh Valley Phantoms

PPL Center · Allentown, PA

Charlotte Checkers

1:2

Final

Lehigh Valley Phantoms

The sheet

CLTLVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

31%69%

xG: 2.42.7
High danger: 15
Chances: 68
Shots: 3024

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

LV above the lineCLT belowDots are goals. Pre-game 48% LV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

30Shots on goal24

6Scoring chances8

1High-danger chances5

2.38Expected goals2.66

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	9–5	1–1	0–0	0.8–0.3
2nd	9–13	2–5	1–4	0.7–1.8
3rd	12–6	3–2	0–1	0.9–0.5

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
CLT	1	16:56 of the 3rd	3:04	3:04	+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Parker Gahagen

Shots faced: 30
Saves: 29
Allowed: 1
xGA: 2.38
GSAx: +1.38

Chris Driedger

Shots faced: 24
Saves: 22
Allowed: 2
xGA: 2.66
GSAx: +0.66

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 1:10Penalty
1st 6:52Penalty
1st 7:58Tobias Björnfot (1–0)5v4 · low · 37 ft · beat Parker Gahagen
1st 13:36Penalty
2nd 1:25Penalty
2nd 1:53Penalty
2nd 3:08Alexis Gendron (1–1)5v4 · grade A · 13 ft · beat Chris Driedger
2nd 3:22Penalty
2nd 5:49Penalty
2nd 5:49Penalty
2nd 17:10Penalty
2nd 17:10Penalty
2nd 18:25Penalty
2nd 19:33Penalty
3rd 10:55Penalty
3rd 11:30Penalty
3rd 15:11Penalty
3rd 16:55Brendan Furry (1–2)4v5 · high · 12 ft · beat Chris Driedger