AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, December 28

Milwaukee Admirals at Chicago Wolves

Allstate Arena · Rosemont, IL

Milwaukee Admirals
4:5
Final
Chicago Wolves

The sheet

MILCHISolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
49%51%
xG
3.73.6
High danger
88
Chances
1512
Shots
3337

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CHI above the lineMIL belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% CHI.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

33Shots on goal37
15Scoring chances12
8High-danger chances8
3.69Expected goals3.65

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st3–92–12–10.5–0.6
2nd10–191–71–60.7–2.1
3rd20–912–45–12.5–1.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

MIL−3−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
MIL37:55 of the 3rd12:055:06+0.017 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Magnus Chrona
Shots faced
36
Saves
32
Allowed
4
xGA
3.62
GSAx
-0.38
Ruslan Khazheyev
Shots faced
33
Saves
29
Allowed
4
xGA
3.69
GSAx
-0.31

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 18:09Penalty
  • 2nd 1:54Penalty
  • 2nd 6:58Justin Robidas (0–1)low · 39 ft · beat Magnus Chrona
  • 2nd 7:27Anthony Angello (1–1)high · 14 ft · beat Ruslan Khazheyev
  • 2nd 9:31Justin Robidas (1–2)low · 18 ft · beat Magnus Chrona
  • 2nd 10:55Penalty
  • 2nd 10:55Penalty
  • 2nd 14:46Penalty
  • 2nd 14:46Penalty
  • 2nd 14:46Penalty
  • 2nd 15:56Penalty
  • 2nd 16:18Skyler Brind’Amour (1–3)5v4 · high · 9 ft · beat Magnus Chrona
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 1:40Penalty
  • 3rd 4:01Penalty
  • 3rd 7:55Riley Stillman (1–4)medium · 18 ft · beat Magnus Chrona
  • 3rd 9:57Joakim Kemell (2–4)grade A · rebound · 7 ft · beat Ruslan Khazheyev
  • 3rd 11:59Jake Lucchini (3–4)grade A · rebound · 12 ft · beat Ruslan Khazheyev
  • 3rd 13:39Penalty
  • 3rd 18:24Austin Wagner (3–5)empty net · low · 164 ft
  • 3rd 19:29Joakim Kemell (4–5)medium · 23 ft · beat Ruslan Khazheyev