AHLDashboard
Saturday, December 28

Ontario Reign at Coachella Valley Firebirds

Acrisure Arena · Palm Desert, CA

Ontario Reign
4:3
Final / SO
Coachella Valley Firebirds

The sheet

ONTCVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
71%29%
xG
3.42.0
High danger
54
Chances
158
Shots
3922

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CV above the lineONT belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% CV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

39Shots on goal22
15Scoring chances8
5High-danger chances4
3.40Expected goals2.04

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st11631200.90.3
2nd8856240.91.2
3rd18571101.50.4
OT2300000.10.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
39
Saves
36
Allowed
3
xGA
3.40
GSAx
+0.40
Shots faced
22
Saves
19
Allowed
3
xGA
2.04
GSAx
-0.96

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 3:09Luke Henman (0–1)medium · 28 ft · beat Pheonix Copley
  • 1st 15:36Penalty
  • 2nd 5:26Francesco Pinelli (1–1)low · 53 ft · beat Jack LaFontaine
  • 2nd 11:26Penalty
  • 2nd 13:22John Hayden (1–2)5v4 · medium · 35 ft · beat Pheonix Copley
  • 2nd 14:02Penalty
  • 2nd 14:02Penalty
  • 2nd 14:47Jeff Malott (2–2)high · 16 ft · beat Jack LaFontaine
  • 2nd 17:03Penalty
  • 2nd 19:36Samuel Fagemo (3–2)medium · 29 ft · beat Jack LaFontaine
  • 3rd 5:00Ryan Winterton (3–3)low · 42 ft · beat Pheonix Copley
  • 3rd 9:40Penalty