AHLDashboard
Sunday, December 29

Colorado Eagles at Tucson Roadrunners

Tucson Convention Center Arena · Tucson, AZ

Colorado Eagles
3:2
Final / OT
Tucson Roadrunners

The sheet

COLTUCSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
51%49%
xG
2.52.0
High danger
23
Chances
88
Shots
2423

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
TUC above the lineCOL belowDots are goals. Pre-game 50% TUC.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

24Shots on goal23
8Scoring chances8
2High-danger chances3
2.54Expected goals2.00

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st81042101.00.7
2nd6923020.50.8
3rd9423110.90.5
OT1000000.10.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
24
Saves
21
Allowed
3
xGA
2.53
GSAx
-0.47
Shots faced
23
Saves
21
Allowed
2
xGA
2.00
GSAx
-0.00

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 6:52Jake Wise (1–0)low · 38 ft · beat Matthew Villalta
  • 1st 14:19Penalty
  • 1st 17:15Penalty
  • 1st 18:42Penalty
  • 2nd 1:35Penalty
  • 2nd 1:35Penalty
  • 2nd 1:35Penalty
  • 2nd 10:03Kailer Yamamoto (1–1)high · 9 ft · beat Adam Scheel
  • 2nd 17:59Penalty
  • 2nd 17:59Penalty
  • 2nd 17:59Penalty
  • 2nd 17:59Penalty
  • 2nd 17:59Penalty
  • 3rd 7:18Penalty
  • 3rd 7:18Penalty
  • 3rd 9:28Chris Wagner (2–1)low · 27 ft · beat Matthew Villalta
  • 3rd 13:52Austin Poganski (2–2)medium · 16 ft · beat Adam Scheel
  • OT 0:52Oskar Olausson (3–2)low · 10 ft · beat Matthew Villalta