Hartford Wolf Pack at Springfield Thunderbirds

MassMutual Center · Springfield, MA

Hartford Wolf Pack

7:0

Final

Springfield Thunderbirds

The sheet

HFDSPRSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

75%25%

xG: 2.72.3
High danger: 61
Chances: 116
Shots: 2532

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

SPR above the lineHFD belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% SPR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

25Shots on goal32

11Scoring chances6

6High-danger chances1

2.73Expected goals2.34

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	11–11	5–3	4–1	1.1–1.0
2nd	8–12	3–1	2–0	1.0–0.7
3rd	6–9	3–2	0–0	0.6–0.6

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
SPR	5	0:00 of the 3rd	20:00	20:00	+0.005 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Talyn Boyko

Shots faced: 32
Saves: 32
Allowed: 0
xGA: 2.34
GSAx: +2.34

Vadim Zherenko

Shots faced: 19
Saves: 14
Allowed: 5
xGA: 2.12
GSAx: -2.88

Will Cranley

Shots faced: 6
Saves: 4
Allowed: 2
xGA: 0.61
GSAx: -1.39

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 4:54Penalty
1st 9:29Penalty
1st 9:29Penalty
1st 9:57Penalty
1st 11:09Adam Sýkora (1–0)5v4 · medium · 18 ft · beat Vadim Zherenko
1st 12:19Blade Jenkins (2–0)high · 15 ft · beat Vadim Zherenko
1st 14:19Anton Blidh (3–0)high · 13 ft · beat Vadim Zherenko
2nd 10:22Blake Hillman (4–0)grade A · rebound · 11 ft · beat Vadim Zherenko
2nd 12:22Brennan Othmann (5–0)high · 18 ft · beat Vadim Zherenko
3rd 4:58Adam Sýkora (6–0)medium · 26 ft · beat Will Cranley
3rd 7:41Penalty
3rd 13:52Dylan Roobroeck (7–0)medium · 14 ft · beat Will Cranley
3rd 14:53Penalty